2017 Common Property Update

2017 SSRAA Fall Chum – 18 September

SSRAA fall chum are still being caught in the D101/Nakat and D106 drift fisheries; and in the Neets Bay chum troll fishery, though the troll fishery will end on Wednesday the 20th with the closure of Behm Canal.  If run timing is usual, and they may be a little late this year, there will be some harvest of these fish through the end of September.  The 2017 forecast is for a return approximately the same as what was harvested in 2016: 212,600 total return from the Neets Bay release and 96,800 total return from the Nakat release, though it does not look like that forecast will be met.  There are still some fish coming back to Burnett Inlet from releases in 2014 and 2015.  A fair number of these fish have been harvested in the D106 drift fishery.

At this point the 2017 return is running slightly behind the 2016 run.

2017 SSRAA Fall Chum – 11 September

There are some SSRAA fall chum being caught in the D101/Nakat and D106 drift fisheries; and in the Neets Bay chum troll fishery.  If run timing is usual fishing should improve through the next 10 days.  The 2017 forecast is for a return approximately the same as what was harvested in 2016: 212,600 total return from the Neets Bay release and 96,800 total return from the Nakat release.  There are also some fish coming back to Burnett Inlet from releases in 2014 and 2015.  These were primarily intended for brood stock at Burnett, but it appears survival was good and they are also being harvested in the D106 drift fishery.

The return of fall chum at Neets generally peaks in the third week of September through the end of the month. The return to Nakat is about a week earlier.

At this point the 2017 return is still running slightly ahead of the 2016 run.

 

2017 SSRAA Fall Chum – 5 September

This is the first fall chum report. There are some around, and they are being caught in the D101/Nakat and D106 drift fisheries;  southern SE seine openings; and in the Neets Bay chum troll fishery.  The 2017 forecast is for a return approximately the same as what was harvested in 2016: 212,600 total return from the Neets Bay release and 96,800 total return from the Nakat release.  There are also some fish coming back to Burnett Inlet from releases in 2014 and 2015.  These were primarily intended for brood stock at Burnett, but it appears survival was good and they are also being harvested in the D106 drift fishery.

The return of fall chum at Neets generally peaks in the third week of September through the end of the month. The return to Nakat is about a week earlier.

At this point, early in the return, there has been more fall chum harvested than was the case in 2016.

August 21, 2017: SSRAA Chum Common Property Update: 

The summer chum run is over but for a few stragglers incidentally harvested; the first few fall chum are now entering the fishery. While it is not noted on the table below, 3-year-old Burnett summer chum have been identified in harvest and in the terminal area including some broodstock; but not many of these fish are expected.

SSRAA Summer Chum Returns through Stat Week 31:

2017 Harvest 2017 Forecast % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick 634,602 842,000                75.4%
Neets (w/cost recovery) 1,200,615 1,320,000                91.0%
Nakat 272,981 226,000              121.0%
Anita 344,030 481,000 71.5%
Total Summer Chum 2,452,228 2,869,000 85.5%

Note: At this point there is likely still some harvest from Anita and Neets that we have not been able to track…we’ll eventually find them in the data. There was some Canadian harvest of Nakat fish – that is included in the Nakat total.

Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information.  SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags.  The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.

 

August 14, 2017: SSRAA Chum Common Property Update: 

While there are very few summer chum still in the Tree Point/Nakat fishery, the first fall chum are now entering the fishery. The summer chum return to D102 and Kendrick is over. There are still a few summer chum returning to terminal areas at Neets Bay and Anita Bay, including D106, D107, and D108. All the summer chum returns are now on their last legs and primarily comprised of 3-year-olds. We are  in the last week of any measurable return of these fish.  Some 3-year-old Burnett fish have been identified in harvest, and we are seeing them in the terminal area; but not many of these fish are expected.

SSRAA Summer Chum Returns through Stat Week 31:

2017 Harvest 2017 Forecast % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick 622,592 842,000                73.9%
Neets (w/cost recovery) 1,143,775 1,320,000                86.7%
Nakat 267,580 226,000              118.4%
Anita 320,464 481,000 66.6%
Total Summer Chum 2,354,411 2,869,000 82.1%

Note: Anita and Neets returns are generally at least a week later than Nakat and Kendrick. At this point there is likely still some Anita harvest that we have not been able to track…we’ll eventually find them in the data. There was Canadian harvest of Nakat fish – that is included in the Nakat total.

Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information.  SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags.  The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.

 

August 2, 2017: SSRAA Chum Common Property Update:   

While there are still a few fish coming back to Nakat, the return of summer chum to Kendrick is over. There are still fish returning to terminal areas at Neets Bay and Anita Bay, but we are week or so from those returns being negligible. Some 3-year-old Burnett fish have been identified in harvest, and we are seeing them in the terminal area; but not many of these fish are expected.

The drift harvest of Nakat fish in D101 and the terminal area has been greater than what was forecast; and, at this date harvest of SSRAA summer chum in D106/108 is better than anticipated. The fish in Clarence and D108 have been primarily Neets Bay and Anita fish.

With the Kendrick return less than forecast and a large portion of the Neets Bay return coming down Clarence Strait, harvest in D102 was less than expected. Historically the chum harvest in seine D101 has been primarily of Neets Bay origin, and it has been much less than what was seen the past several years. This reflects, at least in part, a bigger portion of the Neets return traveling south through Clarence Strait.

Observations: the current average size of a SSRAA summer chum is about 9 pounds, though the overall average will be about 10 pounds. Most of the fish have been 4’s, that’s normal. Though the year class has not been particularly strong, 3’s have been more numerous in recent weeks..

SSRAA Summer Chum Returns through Stat Week 30:

2017 Harvest 2017 Forecast % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick 624,592 842,000                74.2%
Neets (w/cost recovery) 1,115,615 1,320,000                84.5%
Nakat 267,580 226,000              118.4%
Anita 320,464 481,000 66.6%
Total Summer Chum 2,328,251 2,869,000 81.2%

Note: Anita and Neets returns are generally at least a week later than Nakat and Kendrick. At this point there is likely some Anita harvest that we have not been able to track…we’ll find them in the data as time passes. There was some Canadian harvest of Nakat fish – that is included in the Nakat total.

Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information.  SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags.  The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.

 

July 30, 2017:  SSRAA Chum Common Property Update:    

The returns of summer chum to Kendrick and Nakat are done but for the last several fish. There are still fish coming back to Neets Bay and Anita Bay, but we are well on the back side of the peak. Some 3-year-old Burnett fish have been identified in harvest, and we are seeing them in the terminal area; but not many of these fish are expected.

The drift harvest of Nakat fish in D101 and the terminal area is very close to what was forecast; and, at this date harvest of SSRAA summer chum in D106/108 better than anticipated. These have been primarily Neets Bay and Anita fish.

Seine harvest in D102 was less than expected considering the forecast return. As always, the D102 harvest is not just Kendrick fish, a large number of Neets fish are also caught in that fishery.  The Kendrick return was less than what was forecast and a large portion of the Neets Bay return used Clarence Strait. Historically the harvest in seine D101 has been primarily of Neets Bay origin, but it has been much less than what was seen the past several years.  This reflects, at least in part, a bigger portion of the Neets return traveling south through Clarence Strait.

Observations: the fish continue to be their historic normal size at about a 10 pound average, though currently they are about 9 pounds. Most of the fish have been 4’s as we would expect at this point, though the 3’s have been more numerous in recent weeks..

SSRAA Summer Chum Returns through Stat Week 28:

2017 Harvest 2017 Forecast % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick 620,742 842,000                73.7%
Neets (w/cost recovery) 1,043,943 1,320,000                79.1%
Nakat 254,330 226,000              113.5%
Anita 268,114 481,000 55.7%
Total Summer Chum 2,187,129 2,869,000 76.2%

Note: Anita and Neets returns are generally at least a week later than Nakat and Kendrick. There was some Canadian harvest of Nakat fish – included in the Nakat total.

Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information.  SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags.  The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.

 

 

 

 

 July 23, 2017:  SSRAA Chum Common Property Update:    

The returns of Kendrick and Nakat fish are past the peak. These fish will continue to return at some level into early August. The returns of Neets and Anita summer chum, should peak at about the 25th of July and remain strong into early August.  Some 3-year-old Burnett fish have been identified in harvest, but not many of these fish are expected.

The drift harvest of Nakat fish in D101 and the terminal area is very close to what we expected; at this date harvest of SSRAA summer chum in D106/108 better than anticipated. In addition to Anita Bay fish, a larger portion of the Neets Bay return is passing through Clarence Strait than has been the case for some years.

Seine harvest in D102 has been less than expect considering the forecast return. As always, the D102 harvest is not just Kendrick fish, a large number of Neets fish are also caught in that fishery.  The harvest in D101 has been primarily of Neets Bay origin, but it has been much less than what was seen the past several years.  This reflects, at least in part, a bigger portion of the Neets return traveling south through Clarence Strait as opposed to coming inside through D101 and 102.

Observations: the fish continue to be their historic normal size at about 10 pounds, most of the fish have been 4’s as we would expect at this point, though the 3’s are getting more numerous over time and look fairly strong.

SSRAA Summer Chum Returns through Stat Week 28:

Current

2017 Harvest

2017 Forecast % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick 604,621 842,000                71.8%
Neets (w/cost recovery) 846,671 1,320,000 64.2%
Nakat 187,975 226,000 83.2%
Anita 220,088 481,000 45.8%
Total Summer Chum 1,859,355 2,869,000 64.8%

Note: Anita and Neets returns are generally at least a week later than Nakat and Kendrick.

Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information.  SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags.  The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.

 

18 July 2017, SSRAA Chum Common Property Update:
Generally the more “outside” returns to Kendrick and Nakat should just be on the back side of the peak, and continue at some level into early August. The more “inside” runs, Neets and Anita, should peak at about the 25th of July and remain strong into early August. There may also be some 3-year-olds coming back to Burnett Inlet this year, but this will not be a lot of fish. Our intent is to use what returns to Burnett as broodstock.
The drift harvest has been approximately what we would have expected at Nakat and in D101; at this date harvest in D106/108 continues to be better than anticipated. Years ago a large portion of the Neets chum return came down Clarence, through D106. This has not happened for the past 7 or 8 years. But, it seems to be going on this year. Though there are some Anita Bay fish in this harvest, Neets Bay chums still make up the biggest portion of the fish being caught in D106 at the moment. This does not reflect the run size at Anita as we wouldn’t expect large numbers of those fish in D106 for another week.
At this point the seine harvest in D102 less than expect considering the forecast return. As always, the D102 harvest is not just Kendrick fish, a large number of Neets fish are also caught in that fishery. The harvest in D101 has been primarily of Neets Bay origin, but it has been much less than what was seen the past several years. This reflects, at least in part, a bigger portion of the Neets return traveling south through Clarence Strait as opposed to coming inside through D101 and 102.
Observations: the fish continue to be their historic normal size at about 10 pounds, most of the fish have been 4’s as we would expect at this point, though the 3’s are getting more numerous over time and look fairly strong, and as best we can tell males still predominate in the fishery.

Harvest of SSRAA releases (through stat week 28):

2017 Harvest  2017 Forecase % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick Bay 485,067 842,000 57.6%
Neets Bay (w/ cost recovery) 545,287 1,320,000 41.3%
Nakat Inlet 159,966 226,000 70.8%
Anita Bay 110,939 481,000 23.1%
Total Summer Chum 1,301,259 2,869,000 45.4%

Note: Anita and Neets returns are generally at least a week later than Nakat and Kendrick.
Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information. SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags. The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.

 

8 July 2017, SSRAA Chum Common Property Update:
This is the first 2017 harvest update…data does not always come together as quickly as we would like. Some of you may not be aware that most SSRAA chums are caught in traditional common property fisheries, not in Special Harvest Areas. Harvest information by district and gear type first comes from the department and then is sorted using SSRAA weekly port harvest sampling and thermal tag information. At this point we have exercised most of the annual gremlins found in the process and are confidence in the information through Stat week 27, ending last Saturday, 8 July.
It is early to say much about the run with a lot of confidence, but at this point it looks as if it will meet or exceed the forecast. In general terms the more “outside” returns to Kendrick and Nakat should peak in the next 10 days, plus or minus a few, and continue into early August. The more “inside” runs, Neets and Anita, should peak at about the 25th of July and remain strong into early August. There may also be some 3-year-olds coming back to Burnett Inlet this year, but this will not be a lot of fish. Our hope is that enough fish come back to supply a little broodstock for the summer (and fall) chum program. Most of the broodstock will be taken in the usual way at Neets Bay.
The drift harvest has been what we would have expected and perhaps a little better at Nakat and in D101; at this date harvest in D106/108 is also better than we would have anticipated. Years ago a large portion of the Neets chum return came down Clarence, through D106. This has not happened for the past 7 or 8 years. But, it seems to be going on this year. Though there are some Anita Bay fish in this harvest, Neets Bay chums make up the biggest portion of the fish being caught in D106 at the moment. This does not reflect the run size at Anita as we wouldn’t expect large numbers of those fish in D106 for another several weeks.
The seine harvest in D102 is also about what we would expect from the forecast return. As always, the D102 harvest is not just Kendrick fish, a large number of Neets fish are also caught in that fishery. The harvest in D101 has been primarily of Neets Bay origin, though Kendrick and some unmarked fish are also present, which is usual. Similar to the past several years, the fishery in D102 was crowded during the first several openings. With successful catching north, the crowding has lessened the past two openings.
Cost recovery harvest has only just started with few fish harvested to date (22,000 chums). The peak of the terminal return normally occurs on about 27 July. We won’t start broodstock collection until about the 20th, though there may be a few brood sets before that.
Early observations: the fish are normal sized to date at 10 pounds plus, most of the fish have been 4’s as we would expect at this point, though the 3’s look fairly strong, most fish are still bright, and as best we can tell males still predominate in the fishery.

Harvest of SSRAA releases (through stat week 27, does not include Sunday, July 9, harvest):

2015 2016 2017
Kendrick Bay 291,914 282,579 310,727
Neets Bay 159,634 242,547 282,388
Nakat Inlet 116,341 87,705 118,888
Anita Bay 36,116 44,118 57,111
Total SSRAA chum harvest to date 604,005 656,949 769,114

 

2017 Forecast  % of Forecast Harvested
Kendrick Bay 842,000 36.9%
Neets Bay 1,320,000 24.4%
Nakat Inlet 226,000 52.6%
Anita Bay 481,000 11.9%
Total Summer Chum 2,869,000 26.8%

Note: Anita and Neets returns are generally at least a week later than Nakat and Kendrick.
Many of you reading this may not know that the Department stopped sampling chum salmon catches some years ago. SSRAA currently samples Ketchikan and Wrangell processors daily, seven days a week, and collects thermal tags (otoliths) as well as size and male/female ratio information. SSRAA also processes the otoliths and reads the tags. The information is provided to ADF&G managers in real time…within the week harvest occurs.